Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 244.582397 275.790879 310.421184 351.870698 400.358349 455.555788 523.533110
2025-03-16 193.288888 233.059607 281.048953 343.881579 424.962060 527.430703 668.943152
2025-03-23 168.539328 212.125038 267.657859 344.857473 451.432691 596.498050 814.493489
2025-03-30 148.112142 192.611033 251.731860 337.879912 463.427056 645.066627 938.243623
2025-04-06 134.242809 179.509340 241.854045 336.513446 481.273799 702.642202 1084.537762
2025-04-13 119.040867 162.649978 224.419026 321.298649 475.287264 721.655331 1170.948767
2025-04-20 113.765683 159.182686 225.545355 333.498608 512.815802 815.156196 1404.069961
2025-04-27 109.701641 156.938866 228.007373 347.700411 555.159248 923.466609 1690.100662
2025-05-04 103.160468 150.261956 222.836727 348.622883 574.548860 993.649090 1917.897542
2025-05-11 95.461564 141.100716 212.807825 340.069258 575.548937 1028.931178 2079.950779
2025-05-18 89.017377 133.394270 204.409625 333.307469 578.713928 1068.582772 2261.582112
2025-05-25 86.186343 131.253303 204.953346 342.354715 613.093820 1177.904898 2640.577194
2025-06-01 81.834679 126.410274 200.718426 342.606397 630.996634 1257.453139 2975.814734
2025-06-08 76.718138 119.935574 193.159053 335.858794 633.760993 1304.136996 3239.600914
2025-06-15 73.277312 116.041463 189.777468 336.700392 652.558516 1391.804909 3653.719778
2025-06-22 69.039370 110.470745 182.927986 329.936361 653.700303 1436.624940 3953.167794
2025-06-29 65.925826 106.660659 178.986158 328.608172 666.872776 1514.746300 4394.429535
2025-07-06 61.284794 99.852255 168.994869 313.830519 646.873226 1501.478639 4512.300915
2025-07-13 60.396324 99.730535 171.560810 325.680410 691.904101 1675.894905 5405.843573
2025-07-20 59.751903 99.997552 174.868622 339.471022 744.011772 1884.372542 6559.655193
2025-07-27 57.661043 97.443309 172.461468 340.366652 763.488509 2000.149439 7386.829978
2025-08-03 54.719426 93.122248 166.249688 332.061304 757.619746 2035.056004 7858.716565
2025-08-10 52.160547 89.394386 160.996314 325.494779 755.617743 2082.667454 8427.363179